2025 SEASON · WEEK 12 · DEMO DATA

Against the Spread

Minimum actionable edge: 2% · 10 qualifying play(s)

Synthetic demo data. No schedule, betting-market, injury, weather, or statistics API is connected. Every number shown is fabricated for interface demonstration and must not be used for wagering decisions.

ATS board

MatchupOpenCurrentProjectedExpected closeKey numberCover %PublicSharpMoveCLVInjuryWeatherConf1/4 Kelly1/2 KellyFlatRecommendation
TB @ NYG-6.5-7.53.9-8Near key number 7 — line shopping matters.28.7%18% NYGTB-1.0 (steam)PositiveNone-1.1 projected points785.10%10.30%1uTB 7.5
BUF @ WAS-4.5-5.51.5-6No key number exposure.36.1%29% WASBUF-1.0 (steam)PositiveNone-1.1 projected points513.20%6.30%1uBUF 5.5
PIT @ CLE-3.5-2.53.4-3No key number exposure.36.1%26% CLEPIT1.0 (steam)Positive-1.5-3.4 projected points582.70%5.30%1uPIT 2.5
NYJ @ BAL-13.5-14.5-9.8-15No key number exposure.82%91% BALNYJ-1.0 (steam)Positive-4.2Negligible892.10%4.20%1uNYJ 14.5
DEN @ LV6.57.53.77Near key number 7 — line shopping matters.26.2%15% LVLV1.0 (steam)PositiveNoneNegligible871.70%3.40%1uLV 7.5
IND @ KC-11.5-11.5-9.3-11.5No key number exposure.77.1%88% KCIND0.0Positive-3.1-1.1 projected points851.00%2.00%1uIND 11.5
SF @ ARI1.52.50.82No key number exposure.38.5%54% ARIARI1.0 (steam)NeutralNoneNegligible660.80%1.50%1uARI 2.5
DAL @ PHI-10.5-9.5-7.8-10No key number exposure.73.8%84% PHIDAL1.0 (RLM)PositiveNone-1.1 projected points810.80%1.50%1uDAL 9.5
NE @ MIA-5.5-6.5-4.9-7No key number exposure.64.8%73% MIANE-1.0 (steam)PositiveNoneNegligible700.70%1.40%1uNE 6.5
GB @ DET-4.5-3.5-4.9-4Sitting on the key number 3 — half-point cost is material.60.7%71% DETGB1.0 (RLM)PositiveNoneNegligible650.60%1.30%1uDET -3.5
MIN @ CHI3.532.53Sitting on the key number 3 — half-point cost is material.45.1%31% CHICHI-0.5PositiveNone-3.4 projected points50No Play
CIN @ LAC-3-3.5-3.1-3.5Sitting on the key number 3 — half-point cost is material.56.6%62% LACCIN-0.5PositiveNoneNegligible60No Play
HOU @ TEN5.54.54.64No key number exposure.34.4%24% TENTEN-1.0 (steam)PositiveNoneNegligible71No Play
SEA @ LAR-2.5-3.5-3.4-4Sitting on the key number 3 — half-point cost is material.59.8%66% LARSEA-1.0 (steam)PositiveNoneNegligible64No Play

Kelly figures are fractions of bankroll derived from the estimated edge. They are outputs of a demo model, not betting advice, and assume the estimated edge is real — which, with synthetic inputs, it is not.